Yet myself I love AKs vs AKo and I like KQs (In multiway pots) vs AKo (In Multiway pots) but 1vs1, AKo/AKs all day long . Masbatenyo (sometimes written as Masbateño) is the name used by the speakers of the language and for. AK vs QQ+ AK is 38. Hey guys, new to poker analysis correct me if im wrong. Please be advised that these files may still be improved depending on your learners' needs and your test-type. Preflop poker hand evaluation. Plays too well post and doesn’t have the A or k blocker. Ang ganda ko. AKo vs [JJ+, AK] you're 39. Funny how looking at the full enumeration result at pokerstove for AKo vs TT you obtain 56. In 4bet it’s technically ahead of a 6% 3bet range , but the real reason you 4bet is that it removes 50% of AA/KK and has at least 42% equity when called (unless villian calls trapping with AA). . Categories. 3. But it doesn't change your EV. ハンドがakoのgaryは455kにレイズします。 一方、ハンドがqqのcharlesは4225kのオールインを選択しました。 他のプレイヤーは、フォールドを選択します。 garyは、長考します。My BB/100 is -19,88 and I have played 2,140 hands (I know this is not much of a sample). This means QQQ’s fees are twice as expensive as SPY’s. Why is there such an equity difference between AK and AKs vs AA compared to AK and AKs vs QQ? eg. Do not process, store, or transmit any Personally Identifiable Information (PII), UNCLASSIFIED/CUI or CLASSIFIED information on this system. 22% – slight. The range can be created in three ways. J. 67%. On 03/15/2011 AKO filed a Family - Marriage Dissolution/Divorce lawsuit against AKO. 35 -- QQ QhQs QhQd QhQc QsQd QsQc QdQc. Study with Quizlet and memorize flashcards containing terms like AA vs KK, AA vs AKo, AA vs AKs and more. The chart below. 01 Vs. How to play AKo out of position vs QQ. KJs-K7o, KJs-87s. Naučte sa, ako zabrániť inštalácii neautorizovaných aplikácií, zabezpečiť svoje zariadenie. Feedback; Report; 2 Views Jun 4, 2023. An A or K always show up. If you want to be able to use the tool yourself, register to get started with your 14 day free trial. Playing AKo like this is a massive mistake. Je zrejmé, že rozloženie v tomto zmysle je niečo iné ako jazyk klávesnice, a to aj napriek tomu, že spolu obe veci do istej miery súvisia. 96kWh to be "as green" / comparable to HIO as AKO need to process less ore to produce 1 tonne of 70% concentrate. ago Math is hard [deleted] • 1 yr. 3 hands: your opponent has AKs and you are even money (50. 포커고수 우수 게시글 선정 이벤트 안내 [45] 포커고수. More than that, you can join one of the numerous QQ groups. 2022-12-02 02:58:00, Best of 3 Match ends 1:2. ako means i, me while ko is posessive pronoun. Aside: In the second QQ plot (with better scaling) we see that the sample has a heavier right tail than the Normal and is somewhat skewed. 40 for 1st hand. Raise from every position, 3bet all the time except sometimes calling from bb. xenogeneral • 6 yr. 44%. v turečtine), v rómčine, hopijčine a mnohých ďalších. AK vs QQ on T98 computes equity between AK and QQ on the board T98. At around 100 big blinds, and certainly above, you should be much more cautious in getting all your chips in the pot preflop. Znak je zložený z písmena O a prehlásky (umlaut) a vyslovuje sa ako polozatvorená predná. The word you will use will depend on the focus of the subject. My DB shows my top 3 winning hands are AA, KK, AKo. 0 coins. The reason AK is so strong is that calling an all in shove with 22 is so hard because, AK has basically. 74 Billion tonnes across multiple resources at Razor Back, Iron Back Hill and Munster Dam at a 15% recovery for about 861 Mt of concentrate AKO - 198 million tonnes at 30% recovery rate for ~60mt of. Po krátkych samohláskach sa používa tvar "ss", ktorý sa. Ak zatiaľ nebol overený, zobrazí sa správa so žiadosťou o jeho overenie. Download the desktop app and start creating your projects. QQ is a snap fold to a 4bet against almost any villain in my games, AK is a fold to a 3bet against some villains. Náramkové hodinky pre ženy. About Press Copyright Contact us Creators Advertise Developers Terms Privacy Policy & Safety How YouTube works Test new features NFL Sunday Ticket Press Copyright. 07. Win. Army initiative to help improve information sharing with added cybersecurity measures. But it is better to shove with AKo than to call, cause of fold equity. 5%) vs. 0. Cut, trim, and edit videos with CapCut app to record and celebrate life. Ä je v poradí 3. Two options: Make an All-In 4-Bet and hope for a Fold (which brings you not so much money) or a call which means you g. QQ+, AKs, AKo (63. Extreme battles in 10-minute matches, play anytime, anywhere! QQ : AKo: VS : Win 56. Share. Liked by: 12-21-2010, 02:25 PM. But I'm starting to wonder if that is the normal play. I. divide 1 by this number and you get your odds, precisely 1 in 11,781. Not really a complex spot at all but I wanted some feedback if I'm interpreting solver results correctly. 4 Zákonníka práce. 57%, while QQQ has yielded a comparatively lower 16. Saved ranges. All of his 3bets except for one have come from the blinds. Ako Slováci, tak Nemci používajú rozloženie QWERTZ, napriek tomu má. JS-US008 Joint Staff Composite Risk Management Operations Course - (1 hr) This is the Composite Risk Management Basic course. 5. . Ako and ko, although they both refer to the speaker are not interchangable. For example, I saw a QQ bang that gave +5 to Ki, Basics, and Ki Specials, but -5 to Health, Stamina, and Strike Specials. Fold or call? I know its not possible. HJ AKo vs UTG raise + trying a solver . Save Save Ikaw at Ako Piano Sheet For Later 100% 100% found this document useful, Mark this document as useful 0% 0% found this document not useful, Mark this document as not usefulPoker Stars $5. 25% 'probability'. Let's assume; AA, KK, AKs, QQ, AKo, JJ, TT, AQs, 99, 88, AQ, AJs, AJ, 77, ATs, or KQs. The U. Ako is grounded in the principle of reciprocity and also recognises that the learner and whānau cannot be separated. R/Poker is currently in Blackout Mode due to…Ako The ISFP is quiet and introspective. 70 % : Equity 30. "akong balay" = "my house"Ako ay naglalakad. 20 Reads: BB is known to attempt to squeeze with raises, though one of the more experienced at the table, just stacked off…Vs JJ+,AQs+,AKo, your QQ is a slight dog (though I assume vs MSS most people get it in lighter than this so QQ should be up in the long run, if not you're either unlucky, or not getting called enough/not getting 4bet wide enough (the last two of which result in profit for you))You can look, but can't touch. Evaluating the Strength of a Starting Hand. 253K subscribers in the poker community. 2% while SPY charges just 0. Top 5% : AA KK QQ JJ TT AKs 99 AQs AKo AJs KQs : Top 10% : 88 ATs AQo KJs QJs KTs AJo KQo QTs A9s : Top 15% : 77 ATo JTs KJo A8s K9s QJo A7s : Top 20% : KTo Q9s A5s 66 QTo A6s J9s A9o A4s T9s K8s : Top 25% : JTo A3s K7s A8o Q8s K9o A2s J8s K6s 55 T8s : Top 30% : A7o 98s Q9o K5s A5o J9o Q7sI'm a LAG-y player, (30 / 25 / 10). And making it a true single player experience. About Press Copyright Contact us Creators Advertise Developers Terms Privacy Policy & Safety How YouTube works Test new features NFL Sunday Ticket Press Copyright. This table is all limpers. Rank: Top % Group: Specific hand matchups: 1: 0. (verb = nagsusulat, direct object = kwento) I am writing stories. Poker Strategy & Rules. Why is there such an equity difference between AK and AKs vs AA compared to AK and AKs vs QQ? eg. #5. The QQ plot shows clearly that the tails are not fitted correctly. Masbateño or Minasbate is a member of Central Philippine languages and of the Bisayan subgroup of the Austronesian language family spoken by more than 724,000 people in the province of Masbate and some parts of Sorsogon in the Philippines. Well, until they themselves made the sequel at least. Ano Ang Halimbawa Ng Pantig At Kahulugan Nito? (Sagot) PANTIG – Sa paksang ito, ating tatalakayin kung ano nga ba ang tinatawag na pantig at ang mga halimbawa nito. It's entirely dependent your probability of losing the second board given that you. 2. Dont fold to 3bets but don’t use it as 4bet hand though it might be co vs btn. Návrat historicky najväčšieho turnaja, 👑 aký sa kedy na území Slovenska odohral, neostal nič dlžný povesti svojho predchodcu, a my všetci sme opäť boli sved. If one of the Qs is among these folded cards, then the AK is about 56% to win. 9. Meet your professional needs. Ponúkame na overenie (Gmail, hlas Google, účet Microsoft, Yahoo mail) príjem SMS správ pre všetky stránky a služby. 4bets means QQ or better, which has you beat in this situation. . I've known this for ages, but never really had a conversation about it. Ako Ako ay limang (5) taong gulang nga pala si Ana Ramos. g. I'm a LAG-y player, (30 / 25 / 10). We searched but found barely anything about the story behind the original. 22% – slight. 243K subscribers in the poker community. Please show your working; I'm not sure how to work this out. mil. 7 % Equity Would you say losing 7 out of 10 Hands is 'good equity' ? So you are kinda dominated in all 3 Scenarios. Mathematically speaking, if you are heads up then in tournament for instance it makes sense to take a coin flip vs QQ (56%-44). Odds change on later streets. Pocket aces win 85% of the time against one opponent holding the random hand in Texas Holdem. JTs > 22, 22 > AKo, AKo > JTs. QQ+, AKs, AKo (60. Match AKO vs PR on Mineski VxV 2022 Valorant • Playoff • Lower Bracket, Round 1 • 2022-12-02 02:58:00 • Best of 3. News, Views, and Gossip. Equity: 32. Poker Stars, $0. Huwag mo akong sigawan. 5 hours ago · Hrvatski ministar spoljnih i evropskih poslova Gordan Grlić Radman izjavio je danas u Sarajevu da Srbija ne bi trebalo da izbegava saradnju i da poseže za hladnoratovskim metodama u međudržavnim odnosima ako želi da ubrza put ka Evropskoj uniji i da gradi regionalnu stabilnost. 85% is the odds to win when AA goes all-in preflop. Depending on what he choose he took the better. Any scenario vs 99% of players were we can narrow down a range means there’s at least been a 3B. How to play AKo out of position vs QQ. When you’re the one going all-in, you will usually be behind when called. 46 %. In an all in you are more likely to find yourself against a hand like JJ TT than A5s though AQ you will see a lot at shorter stack depths. 2023 Table Tennis Setka Cup, World ⚡Best Odds & Picks ⭐Accurate Predictions ️Live Score & Stats Match PreviewNagsusulat ako ng kwento. 9%. Ak vs the range of TT+ and AKs and AKo is 40% AKo vs QQ is about 43% to win, and if you raise or reraise with your AKo vs QQ you usually get the right pot odds to call their all-in. It's roughly a 53% favourite. AKO 2. Preflop poker hand evaluation. ago. 6 % Equity KQs vs AKo = 29. 4 Color options. 0 Follower · 3 Videos. We. 73 %. Poker News & Discussion. Crypto KK vs. Personal blogAKO V AKO. Vs AA AKs 12% AKo 7% Vs QQ (no shared suits. This week's hand from the weekly $10,000 GG Poker Super Million$ has many interesting decision points for each player. However, the times you are in an AA vs KK situation you are completely crushed. Why should you 3-bet this hand if you are folding to a shove? Are you bluffing or raising for value? If you really don't want to get AKo in, then don't 3-bet. Poker odds calculate the chances of you holding a winning hand. 5%) Thanks . Ace King suited. Just add link of your youtube video and generate QR code! All created QR codes can be tracked and managed on the same platform. Áno. Získajte štatistiky spolu s bezpečným zdieľaním v reálnom čase a z ľubovoľného zariadenia. 10/0. 와 토너 중반 딥대딥 ako vs qq 4벳잼 게시글 상세 페이지 대한민국 최고의 포커/홀덤 커뮤니티 pokergosu. Ak vs qq is a flip. Join Date: Aug. . $1/3 live Encore Boston Harbor UTG open to $15 (standard for the game) Hero in LJ 3b to $50 Folds to UTG, who 4bs to $140 Hero callObviously AKO isn't in production, so for any takeover estimate you'd try to assign a probability of success. Quora is a place to gain and share knowledge. Although the percentage varies greatly depending on the opponent’s hand and the number of opponents. A sequel to the legendary “Dota o Ako” a song that encapsulated the struggle of every Dota addict and their long suffering partners, the Aikee and Vanessa creation came out in 2011 and has not been topped since. Vs AA AKs 12% AKo 7% Vs QQ (no shared suits. Both great hands, but which does better? Head to head, both hands are close in equity, but pocket jacks are ahead by a little. 2 covering Modules 3-4 of the 4th Quarter of this school year. You should compare this against their historical returns and decide if you are comfortable with the differences in fees. 3 % Equtiy KQs vs QQ = 34. Jacks versus Ace King unsuited. Win. . 42 %: Win 43. About 3 hours into session table is 8 handed and table dynamics provided for a loose game w/ lots of marginal. 10/0. com let you run any scenario at Short Deck Poker. 70 % : Equity 30. By that point pot odds will be a factor. About Press Copyright Contact us Creators Advertise Developers Terms Privacy Policy & Safety How YouTube works Test new features NFL Sunday Ticket Press Copyright. "ko" is preferred to emphasize possession of something: e. Damay-damay narin 'to mga ka-SWALLEN (h. AKo vs AQs: 70. View Profile Send Message Find Posts By Iblis Find Threads By Iblis. If they are jamming there 100% with JJ and AK then easy call. (B) Analysis shall be made for the elements for which limits are shown. ago. If your effective stack size is less than ~100 big blinds, then you should be comfortable getting all in preflop. 65 %: Equity 69. Deal Probability: 0. ago. Range. AKo vs. Weight to apply to added hands: 100. Valheim Genshin Impact. 1-2% difference vs A5s, more significant vs AQ. The chart below showcases a. If you run it thousands of times, QQ wins quite a bit more than AK does. QQ : AKo: VS : Win 56. with removal of two A odds of specific pair are 4/50 * 3/49 = 12/2450. Kabilang ako sa KindergartenAk chcete zistiť, či bol účet overený, prihláste sa do svojho účtu Google. com 포커,포커고수,토너먼트,텍사스홀덤,포커뉴스,홀덤펍,정보,번역,족보,게임,전략I have AKo versus HJ 3-bet and when I choose the 'raise 19' option, the wizard tells me it was a mistake since I should shove in this spot. 50%, while Invesco QQQ (QQQ) has a volatility of 5. 37% annualized return. Also, another crucial difference is that the 2nd flop has a possible flush draw while the 1st one. In essence you have order of 3*169 cases to examine. for each instance in same hand you have to multiply the percentages (120x108x96)/ (2652x2450x2256) = 1,244,160/14,658,134,400 = a very precise number. in any way. ) Maraming salamat! Ang impormasyon ay napaka-nagagamit. Match Outcome Best Odds Bookie; David Ako To win: 1. View Profile Send Message Find Posts By heehaww Find Threads By heehaww. 67%. AKs. Study with Quizlet and memorize flashcards containing terms like QQ vs {JJ+, AK}, AKs vs {JJ+, AK}, AKo vs {JJ+, AK} and more. Shuffle up and deal! Official subreddit for all things poker. 242% – 43. 03% – 00. So a very rough approach like that would give you about 56. You have roughly a 45% chance of losing the first board and I'd guess that after losing the first board, you have around a high 30s to 40% chance of losing the second board. DOD-US1364-20 Department of Defense (DoD) Cyber Awareness Challenge 2020 (1 hr) This annual 2020 Cyber Awareness Challenge refresh includes updates to case studies, new information on the Cyberspace Protection Condition (CPCON) (formerly INFOCON), a feature allowing the course tutorial to be skipped, a combining of the DoD and. As seen above, ‘P v Q’ is a contingent statement – there are instances where it is true (row 1, 2 and 3), and an instance where it is false (row 4). AKo vs A7s: 69% – 31% In fact, even without calculating, one has to see that A7 vs AK cannot be better than K7 vs QQ. 75%-57. 42 %: Win 43. It's not actually a flip at all. Originally posted by Tubby Sensei: QQ Bangs give you stat penalties, if they're higher leveled. o. I've had an arguement about how these hands are best played preflop. AA, KK, and QQ are dealt eight-handed (I'm not interested in who gets what: just that they get dealt to someone). The range can then be examined using the tools on this page. But if I have a look at the histogram and the fitted normal distribution (blue), even the values around 0. Popular Forums. . 40 for 1st hand. com AKo: 45-50% AKs 77 66 55 44 33 22: 40-45% QQ JJ TT 99 88 Losing Matchups: 35-40% 30-35% KK: 25-30% 20-25% 15-20% 10-15% 5-10% AA: 0-5% AK vs 76 suited: AK wins 60%: AK vs QJ: AK wins 64%: AK vs 22: 22 wins 51%: AK vs KQ: AK wins 73%: AK vs AA: AA wins 87%: AK vs KK: KK wins 66%: AQ vs KQ: AQ wins 70%: AQ vs QJ: AQ wins 70%: AQ vs KJ: AQ wins 60%: AT vs KQ: AT wins 58%: AA vs KK: AA wins 80%: AA vs 22: AA wins 80%: AA vs 76 suited: AA wins 77%: A2 vs JT: A2 wins 55%: KK vs K2. We extract value when the 3-bettor calls the 4-bet with weaker hands. 9. Otherwise you're a big favorite (70%+). ) Ito ang pagkain ko. while jj your always going to be 20% or. Use weaker hands like A5s to 3-bet fold and stronger hands like QQ to 3-bet call. Tencent QQ (Chinese: 腾讯QQ), also known as QQ, is an instant messaging software service and web portal developed by the Chinese technology company Tencent. Napr. I rarely shove with QQ (usually call a 4-bet and 5-bet shove, but don't shove myself). Ako ay maganda. V stávkovej kancelárii Niké môžete sledovať populárne športy ako futbal (LaLiga, Ligue1), hokej (KHL, SHL, MS v hokeji), tenis (WTA a ATP turnaje) alebo aj basketbal (NBA, slovenská basketbalová liga). Shuffle up and deal! Official subreddit for all things poker. Deal Probability: 0. My DB shows my top 3 winning hands are AA, KK, AKo. Range btm25 has been added to 'hero-range' and it becomes: AA. . Today on Rappler – the latest news in the Philippines and around the world: ⁃ Pinoy Ako Blog’s Jover Laurio wins data privacy case vs Thinking Pinoy’s RJ Nieto ⁃ COA roasts Cebu town government over 207 lechon purchases ⁃ 2 Bilibid gang leaders plead guilty to murder of ‘middleman’ in Percy Lapid case ⁃ Presumed human remains and. Equity: 32. . FWIW, he has not opened a hand UTG yet. Tiers. Join Facebook to connect with Ako Vs Ikaw and others you may know. Ako ay na at kabilang sa Kindergarten. maďarské Aa sa vyslovuje ako hlboké a (výslovnosťou sa môže podobať na písmeno Oo) Cs , Dz , GY , LY [ej], NY , Sz , Ty , Zs sú maďarské digrafy, teda hlásky pozostávajúce z dvoch písmen; Digraf Ly sa číta ako Jj. It specifies a certain percantage of bottom starting hands. Čo znamená zrušenie vyhlášky pre osoby s diagnostikovaným COVID-19: Tak ako pri iných akútnych respiračných. -AKo vs JJ Heads-up slightly favors JJ (according to the free Equilab calculator AdKh vs JsJc is 42. 04. Let’s do AKo vs a random hand for 10,000 trials, and then AKs vs a random hand for 10,000 trials. Winning Breakdown for AKo: High Card 14,040,000 One Pair 74,329,056 Two Pair 45,112,176 Three of a Kind 9,766,224 StraightWinning Breakdown for AKo: High Card 4,412,520 One Pair 23,305,176 Two Pair 14,153,652 Three of a Kind 3,087,792 StraightAKo vs QQ : 43. QQ. Pinoy Ako Blog’s Jover Laurio wins data privacy case vs Thinking Pinoy’s RJ Nieto Jover Laurio, the author behind Pinoy Ako Blog, wins a data privacy case against Thinking Pinoy’s RJ Nieto. Range. Evaluate preflop holdem poker hands. 6% if the ace-king is suited and does not share suites with the other player. bolshevik_rattlehead • 1 yr. limang (5) taong gulang na rin. HM2 will show that QQ had 56,76% equity, while in reality it's true equity is around 51-52%. As of March 2023, there were 597 million monthly active. 82% to win/tie. 4-bet pre? Raise on the. Top 10%. Tencent QQ (Chinese: 腾讯QQ), also known as QQ, is an instant messaging software service and web portal developed by the Chinese technology company Tencent. #1 assuming that opponent have AKo and we have QQ. Hanako wears the old Kamome Academy male uniform, a black gakuran with gold buttons, white-collar and red hems, a white, long-sleeved western shirt underneath, black shoes, and red socks. ilocano, tagalog, english, filipinas. Ako Vs Ikaw is on Facebook. 98. Beginners Forum. ranking of kings. Business, Economics, and Finance. The other part then must come from AKo being able to make two 1 card flushes vs QQ that are almost always good while AA can be blocking one of them by making a higher flush. Again, let's take it a step further and say your opponent will also make the play with QQ. Our compiled lists of Periodical Test for SY 2022-2023 were organized per quarter and is being updated from time to time. Vzhľadom na. Select Submit and Close when satisfied. 4749 din x18crn28Tak ako sa uvádza aj v Usmernení k príspevkom na rekreáciu s riešenými praktickými príkladmi, zamestnanec by mal predložiť taký doklad, ktorým preukáže splnenie požadovaných podmienok, t. AKo. Heureka. AK vs QQ on Tc9h8s dead Ac computes equity between AK and QQ on the board Tc9h8s given that Ac is a dead card. 049 % – 45. Shuffle up and deal! Official subreddit for all things poker. 61% return. Evaluate preflop holdem poker hands. Playing QQ and AK Preflop in NL Hold'em. 2023-09-05. Crypto Usually fold is what we do with AKo vs 4bets. -AKo vs JJ Heads-up slightly favors JJ (according to the free Equilab calculator AdKh vs JsJc is 42. CALL: match the bet put into the pot. 30 % CardFight KK versus AKo - Preflop Poker Statistics. Facebook gives people the power to share and makes the world more open and connected. : Hanßen [hansen] verzus nesprávne [hanben]. Why should you 3-bet this hand if you are folding to a shove? Are you bluffing or raising for value? If you really don't want to get AKo in, then don't 3-bet. QQ milked him for $200 on turn and River each. Magic mouthwash is the term given to a solution used to treat mouth sores caused by some forms of chemotherapy and radiation therapy. That exact scenario happened to me after starting at the bottom of the Venom ladder and getting down to the last 3 for a seat in the Tourney. Objavte zjednodušený zážitok s používateľským rozhraním Samsung Galaxy One UI 6. It's a platform to ask questions and connect with people who contribute unique insights and quality answers. Vyberte úlohu, ku ktorému chcete pridať pripomenutie, a na pracovnej table, ktorá sa otvorí, vyberte položku Pripomenúť. David Ako vs Jiri Muller 04. Simply click on the download links beside the respective grade levels to get your free and direct copies. Winning Breakdown for AKo: High Card 7,561,440 One Pair 20,447,520 Two Pair 8,865,792 Three of a Kind 1,984,032 Straight 286 votes, 22 comments. 포커고수 통합 공지 (작성중) [12] 포커고수. Winning Breakdown for AKo: High Card 0 One Pair 21,456,288 Two Pair 21,165,840 Three of a Kind 3,235,104 Straight 1,969,776 fold against a 4bet when you're holding AKo in live 1/2. The concept of ako describes a teaching and learning relationship, where the educator is also learning from the student and where educators’ practices are informed by the latest research and are both deliberate and reflective. Case Summary. This calculator allows the user to calculate range vs range equity in texas hold'em poker. Appian provides the foundation for all information dissemination, knowledge sharing, process management and collaboration across AKO. AKo, after every one folds to the blinds, may tend to have more real equity (full outs) then in early position. "Pinoy Ako Blog’s Jover Laurio wins data privacy case vs Thinking Pinoy’s RJ Nieto The Makati City Regional Trial Court Branch 132 rules said that Nieto 'maliciously and with ill intent' collected and published Laurio's personal information, turning her into a target of threats and harassment. You have roughly a 45% chance of losing. Well, that's less fortunate. If someone's standard open is 10bb you're going to have a ton of opportunities to 3bet vs them and pick up free money. . What people would pay at this stage is anyone's guess but back of the envelope calculation, a 2 - 5% probability would imply a AKO share price of A$1. The #1 biggest factor is one that you did not mention: Stack Size.